Vet your metrics, avoid wrong investment decisions with these Expert Questions

Metrics are important to green building finance because they can help you prove the green value-add you’re getting from your sustainability or energy efficiency initiatives.  First of all, they’ll drive the project choices that your company makes, which will determine the future state of the green finance or investment program that you’re running. Over time, they’ll teach your company how and where to improve its green investing activities because they’ll point you to the areas to improve in order to reach your business objectives.

There’s a lot riding on your choice of metrics

However, achieving that success depends on choosing the right metrics in the first place. There’s lots of evidence that getting metrics wrong can result in huge problems… once you realize that there’s even a problem in the first place and that it stems from a faulty metric.

Enterprise Group CEO John Mariotti wrote about how the medical establishment continues to accept the “normal” human body temperature of 98.6 F, even it was proven to be 98.25 F many years ago.

There’s also the expensive (and ongoing) example of the losses suffered by governments and investors that relied on the AAA credit ratings on securitized mortgage pools, which touched off a global financial crisis, when the ratings were exposed as inaccurate.

Expert Questions for vetting metrics

We help clients to vet their metrics, so that they make the right decisions about their target environmental, social and economic impacts. I condensed them into shortlist of Expert Questions for Vetting Metrics**, that I taught my grad finance class yesterday. You can use it to locate and assess potential weaknesses in measurements, preventing wrong decisions and expensive problems.

1. Who created the metric or it’s criteria?
2. How do they define value?
3. What do they want to know?
4. What will they do with the data?
5. Does the measurement and any impacts comply with the Four C’s?
6. Are chosen discount rates and sensitivity scenarios well-justified?
7. How does it drive marginal improvement in environmental quality and well-being?
8. What’s the measurement baseline?
9. How is the metric’s range of motion defined?
10. Does the metrics reporting period match the firm’s normal financial reporting period?

There’s only enough time for now to discuss a simple principle that is behind #’s 1-4. It is: forms of social / environmental measurement serve the perspective and objectives of the measurement’s creator.

Most practitioners know that it’s important to use metrics that are comparable across many firms, to get a transparent view and the right context about a company’s or portfolio’s performance.  In green investing, there are various private data collection firms compiling this information, but they may focus their data reporting on a particular sub-sector of clients. The measurements used can be less effective for you if your firm does not fit the profile of this client sub-sector.

I’ll write more on the other vetting questions from time to time, but feel free to use this list to check or recheck your own metrics or the criteria that’s behind them. When you know you’re accurately measuring green investment performance, then you’ll enjoy the benefits of better decision making and impact.

**What are Expert Questions?

Can private real estate make a bigger impact on housing affordability? Share your views.

Today I’ll be speaking at the NeighborWorks Symposium: Investing for Impact in Sustainable Communities and that provides a great opportunity for you to send in questions and thoughts on the topics they are covering.

I’ll add your questions to others I already have and will get the answers from speakers during the day — sharing them back on Twitter or via a blog post about the event later.

NeighborWorks has put together a unique event, with an agenda that sports quite a few sharp teeth.

Starting off with a keynote from Angela Blackwell, Founder and CEO of PolicyLink, the symposium dives deep into several interconnected aspects of housing affordability, with the goal of generating actionable ideas on next steps to improve the impact of investing in housing affordability and sustainable communities.

Symposium topics include:

• the proposition that greater investment in housing organizations is needed to assist the cause of affordability.
• the role of sustainable design in housing affordability.
• a look at our understanding of social returns from affordable housing and how can that knowledge stimulate greater private capital investment in the sector.

I am speaking on the last topic above, as part of a panel moderated by Nancy Andrews, of Low Income Investment Fund.  Since we are speaking in an open Q&A format, the specifics of our discussion on social returns will evolve from the input of all the speakers.

Tomorrow, I’ll speak about the tools from Galley Eco Capital’s work that non-profit housing groups can use to better engage private real estate investors on investing in rental housing and sustainable communities.

The graphic for today’s post is the title page of my talk, which will contain a good dose of material on triple bottom line metrics as well as the role of innovation within the discussion.

After the event, I’ll post a short except from the presentation, to continue the conversation on the role of  social returns within private real estate investment decision and if it is truly possible improve the way we invest in housing affordability and communities within the US.

Got any questions that you’d like answered on the above topics? If you send them to me, I’ll ask panelists and speakers during the day as time permits.

In any event, I look forward to hearing about your views on the topic.

I can post the answers either on Twitter or on a blog post for everyone later when the conference is over.

Stay tuned!

What I Learned at the Competitive Edge Workshop #1

“Teaching is half learning.”

That’s a Japanese proverb, originally from the Chinese Book of Documents.  After teaching the first Competitive Edge workshop last week, we definitely believe that’s true — teaching involves a great deal of learning.

In addition to a personally amazing experience with a fantastic group of high-caliber professionals, we found ourselves reflecting deeply on how much we learned from them.

If you’ve been following previous posts on this blog or getting Pacesetter, Investment Analysis of Green Buildings, sponsored by the US Green Building Council - Northern California Chapter and law firm Hanson Bridgett was held last week, we taught to a nearly sold out room.  On top of that, the course was granted CEU-status by USGBC national, a first for the Northern California Chapter — and for green finance anywhere, to the best of our knowledge.

Here is what we learned from listening to and working with the workshop attendees:

#1: Green finance is important to a much larger group of professionals than you might think.

While we deeply believe that green finance can change the world, we had still oriented much of this course’s material to real estate finance and investment professionals. And, we had a full house of folks from some of investment real estate’s household names, which was flattering.  In addition, however, there were also professionals from the building technology,  construction, corporate real estate, affordable housing and legal sectors. In our conversations, we asked attendees about why they attended the course. The answer we received repeatedly was that professionals were finding it critical to understand the perspective of the property owners that they worked with and they believed that updating their knowledge of financing sustainable properties would be a good way to do that.

Real estate professionals in the room were leading change within their firms or they saw the workshop as a good way to help themselves transition within real estate by upping their knowledge and skill of financing green  real estate.

#2: Attendees most liked learning a simple, cohesive underwriting approach, how to apply LEED to finance decisionmaking, metrics and taking away a rich set of resources

We had definitely focused on creating actionable content, and when we reviewed the feedback, the following  topics were voted as being most significant time and time again:

• the GAPS approach simplified underwriting: We had really focused on reducing the complexity associated with underwriting and received strong, positive feedback on this. The participants gave high marks to our own system for green real estate underwriting, which we use to help decisionmakers quickly to define, evaluate and communicate the value-add of green real estate. It was interesting that folks from many non-finance sectors found this approach quite useful, too, in their structuring of their own work with property owners. (Don’t know about GAPS, yet? You should check it out at the next Competitive Edge, Financial Considerations of Energy Efficiency Retrofits, on 7 April; sign up here.)

• Learning how to connect LEED credits with the project operating cash flow: This particular need, a core requirement of our work here, got high marks as well. Most of the feedback was along the lines of participants feeling much more comfortable in conversations at work and with clients, now that they could point to very concrete areas within the LEED-NC system, which were prioritized according to cash flow impact.
  

• More metrics, please!: Green Journey readers know of our papers and posts about metrics for responsible property investing. This topic came at the end of the day, when people are typically a little tired. However, the participant feedback revealed that the topic of metrics was considered very important, telling us that professionals assign a value to incorporating both double and triple bottom line metrics within their practice.

• In-depth resources for self-study: Getting a packet of distilled, vetted sources of the latest green finance research plus tools and tips for further learning and takeaway was voted as very valuable by the attendees. While we taught course materials from  powerpoint slides and handouts, we had originally thought it would be helpful if people received an extra resource book compiling the research, tools and tips on real estate underwriting and sustainable finance that we’ve come to rely on here. So we prepared an 87-page resource book, to support the underwriting of new green construction, which expanded upon the information being taught in the course. We really focused on the green building, finance data and information that we most like to geek-out on. We were pleasantly surprised at how many attendees stated that this information was very valuable. Just this evening, I received a note from a participant saying, “I wanted to thank you for your great insight and the wealth of information that you shared”.

It was really gratifying to be able to share our knowledge and passion with a sharp group of professionals. Their feedback about the topics and resources that were most valuable to them opened our eyes also . This will definitely help us in the upcoming Competitive Edge events.

P.S. → The next Competitive Edge workshop, Financial Considerations for Existing Building Retrofits, takes place on 7 April 2010. We are excited about the fact that the City of San Francisco and PG&E will also be taking part with great information that will help properties to better finance existing building retrofits. Sign up and join us in an exciting day! Seating is limited and several of Workshop #1 attendees have indicated that they’ll be attending again, so register sooner than later. On top of that, early bird pricing runs through 24 March 2010.

Norwegian fund putting $16 billion into socially-responsible real estate

The juggernaut Norwegian Global Pension Fund has just announced that it intends to significantly expand its real estate holdings globally.

According to the report in Responsible Investor, “Environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors including energy efficiency and water consumption are to be key planks“ within the criteria for new property investments.

The $16 billion investment amount represents 5% of the fund’s overall value and its manager, Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM), indicates that the fund will need a few years to actually invest in ESG-screened real estate to achieve that level, as the allocation comes from portfolio shift created by cutting the fund’s bond portfolio.

How will they actually invest responsibly?

This is interesting, as there is no real consensus about reporting standards and measurements that constitute responsible investing in the institutional real estate field (see our previous posts and papers about Metrics for Responsible Property Investing, for more details).

NBIM will be required by the government to produce an annual report of the portfolio, including an “assessment of how it conforms to responsible management and the exercise of ownership rights. The bank will be allowed to hire external managers and outsource operational functions, with returns benchmarked against a customised version of the Investment Property Databank’s Global Property Benchmark.”

Overall, we are noticing increasing interest by foreign investors in US markets, as they believe that property values have nearly bottomed out. That, plus the growing requirement for green and socially-responsible properties can possibly spur a near to mid-term shortage in green real estate, even as property markets generally are expected to be in a slow recovery.

As we have seen in previous cycles, lots of capital seeking an asset in short supply can always create some interesting market action. From my point of view, the Norwegian Global Pension Fund is not alone in the direction they are taking. Expect to hear more on this point in the near future, as others get in on the action.

Use these metrics to measure your portfolio’s triple bottom line performance

Get this new research on metrics that helps you measure property triple bottom line performance.

We are pleased to share a new report titled, Metrics for Responsible Property Investing: Developing and Maintaining a High-Performance Portfolio.

You can download the report here.

This research was co-authored by Jean Rogers of Arup, David Wood of the Responsible Property Investing Center and myself. This is a working draft for comment that was presented today (4 November 2009) to a joint session of ULI’s Responsible Property Investing and Sustainable Development Councils.

Why do we need metrics for triple bottom line investing?

Our survey of the industry indicated that the spread of triple bottom line investing was being hampered by the fact that most currently available real estate sustainability reporting came from investors who would green a couple of showcase buildings in their portfolios.  This lack of transparency leaves the broader real estate industry and capital markets with several pressing problems:

• They cannot determine if sustainability performance on the portfolio is improving over time.
• They do not know how the portfolio’s green performance compares with the portfolio’s of other investors.
• There is no way to judge sustainability risks hidden within any portfolio.

Drafting and road-testing proposed metrics with the Bay Area Council and TIAA-CREF

After developing a set of metrics that would represent the ten RPI principles in action, we worked with the Bay Area Council Family of Funds and TIAA-CREF to road test them, to obtain real world feedback from actual investor users.

Bay Area Council Family of Funds tested the metrics on recent acquisitions to see how the metrics might be useful during the property acquisition process.

TIAA-CREF tested the metrics on a portfolio of properties they own, to determine how the metrics could possibly assist them with asset management activities.

Both investors were also at today’s ULI session and provided in depth comments on the use of the metrics and their recommendations.

Key takeaways

Here are a few of our findings based upon investor feedback about their use of the metrics:

• RPI metrics do provide a tangible link to asset and portfolio value by pointing to possible decreases in operating expenses and/or increases in rental revenue.
• The use of RPI metrics can assist with opportunity finding: a key objective of due diligence during  acquisition.
• The use of RPI metrics can help drive social responsibility within the portfolio, instead of just monitoring it after the fact.

We need your help!

This report is currently a working draft for comment. It was submitted to members of the Sustainable Development and Responsible Property Investing Councils for their review and comment. We would also appreciate hearing the comments and questions of real estate investors and practitioners within the Green Journey community.

Let us know your thoughts about these proposed metrics. Also feel free to forward this report to anyone in your network whose practice might benefit from the information.

We look forward to hearing from you and will keep you updated on this effort as it evolves.

You can download the report here.

Related reading:

• We’ve covered the emergence of responsible property investing many times before.
• You can also view a short presentation on the basics of responsible property investing here.

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